10-year minus 3-month Treasury

A negative reading indicates a potential recession is on the horizon.

10-Year minus 2-Year Treasury

A negative reading indicates a potential recession is on the horizon.

Initial Claims

An initial claim is a claim filed by an unemployed individual after a separation from an employer.  This is updated weekly.

High Yield Spreads

Spreads between a computed OAS index of all bonds in a given rating category and a spot Treasury curve.

GDP Growth Forecast

GDP growth forecast, wage growth tracker - published by the Atlanta Fed.

US Labor Statistics

Variety of data and charts on the health of the job market.

NY Fed Recession Gauge

This model uses the slope of the yield curve, or “term spread,” to calculate the probability of a recession in the United States twelve months ahead.

Trading Economics

Variety of country-specific economic data.

Truflation

A daily estimate of U.S. inflation.

Our World in Data

Variety of information, including global consumption.

Citigroup Economic Surprise Index

Earnings Revisions

Macrobond

Economic data and insights.

ADP Research Institute

Lipper Refinitiv

Economic Charts and Commentary

Cleveland Fed Predicted GDP Growth

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Drewry Container Price Index

Tracks container freight costs.

Weekly Railway Traffic

Heavy Weight Truck sales

M2 Velocity of Money

The number of times one dollar is spent to buy goods and services per unit of time.

Bank of Canada

Key interest rate and yearly meetings of the Canadian central bank.